SECOND POST – AUGUST 2, 2012 – RUSSIAN STRATEGY NOW IS TO UNSEAT ERDOGHAN.
Let’s be candid. If anyone is following the curious convergence of Russian battle cruisers, aircraft carriers and submarines with two Iranian battleships and one Chinese warship off the Syrian coast, it’s the Turks. The Turkish high command has access to, not only its own surveillance data, but intel from NATO. Remember NATO? Anyone? That’s the near bankrupt American-European alliance that has been run through the dryer now about twenty times! NATO doesn’t want to fight any more. They actually say it.
Enter Obama and Erdoghan. Obama knows what SyrPer has been saying for more than one year: Saudi Arabia has no army. The secret is in the money and how it’s transferred to foreign banks. The Saudis have no pilots or people to run their imaginary tanks. Saudi Arabia is a military non-subject. Turkey, hmmm, well, that’s something else. Right? ……Wrong.
Anders Fogh-Rasmussen, Secretary General of NATO, reacts to a question about military involvement in Syria. Whaaaaaah?
Obama also knows that he cannot get any consensus on another war in another Islamic country. Russia knows that. David Axelrod knows that any such talk will result in Mr. Obama taking a one-way ticket back to Chicago’s South side. So what’s left? Turkey?
We at SyrPer have substantial contacts with people in Southern Turkey and the former Syrian province of Hatay. We have been told by members of the Zada family in Eskenderoun that Erdoghan is despised by all Southern Turks, especially the Alawis and the Alevis (read: Shi’i). His policies have resulted in the eradication of a multi-billion dollar trade relation with Syria that benefited all on both sides of the border. This has not gone unnoticed by the officer corps of the Turkish army.
Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, is fully aware of the Turkish army’s antipathy to Erdoghan and his anti-secular, anti-Ataturk policies. The moment Erdoghan begins discussing military options, the conspiracy will begin to unseat him. Turks in the streets don’t want any wars with their neighbors. The Turkish people is fully aware that their country, today, is becoming isolated. Relations with Syria are at an all-time low. With Iraq, not much better. With Iran, at a nadir because of Ankara’s hostility to Syria. And with Armenia and Greece as historic nemeses, one might ask: who is truly isolated in the Near East today? Is it really Syria? Or is it Erdoghan?
Russia is moving stealthily and with the craftiness of a fully grown, resilient grizzly bear. Oh let the British fulminate all they like. Americans just lie anyway. The French are becoming increasingly obnoxious. But the Russians are putting their ducks all in a row. Very slowly and very deliberately. While the fleet is burgeoning, Syria’s offensive missile capabilities are being upgraded with brand new cruise missiles to complement their huge arsenal of Scud B’ and D’s. Each missile has the name of a Turkish dam on the Euphrates. Just watch. We give Erdoghan one month….maybe a little more… but not much.
I AM THIRSTING FOR A LIBATION. TOMORROW WE WILL ANNOUNCE THE “PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF NOTHING!” THE RISE OF HAITHAM AL-MALLAH, PRESIDENT OF NOWHERELAND.